Week 1 Saturday / Monday Predictions

Saturday, September 1


East Carolina at Virginia Tech
UAB at Michigan St
FIU at Penn St
Appalachian St at Michigan
Youngstown St at Ohio St
Northeastern at Northwestern
Marshall at Miami
Colorado St at Colorado (in Denver)
Western Kentucky at Florida
South Carolina St at Air Force

Virginia at Wyoming
Connecticut at Duke
UCLA at Stanford
Washington St at Wisconsin
Western Michigan at West Virginia
Missouri at Illinois (in St. Louis)
Iowa at Northern Illinois (in Chicago)
Georgia Tech at Notre Dame
Wake Forest at Boston College
Mississippi at Memphis

Nevada at Nebraska
Houston at Oregon
MTSU at FAU
Arizona at BYU
UCF at NC State
James Madison at North Carolina
Eastern Michigan at Pittsburgh
Villanova at Maryland
Baylor at TCU
Eastern Kentucky at Kentucky

Oklahoma St at Georgia
Army at Akron (in Cleveland)
Montana St at Texas A&M
Tennessee-Martin at Southern Miss
Louisiana-Lafayette at South Carolina
Purdue at Toledo
Gardner-Webb at Ohio
Arkansas St at Texas
North Texas at Oklahoma
Troy at Arkansas

Central Michigan at Kansas
Richmond at Vanderbilt
Central Arkansas at Louisiana Tech
Elon at USF
Western Carolina at Alabama
Kansas St at Auburn
Indiana St at Indiana
Nicholls St at Rice
Tennessee at California
Bowling Green at Minnesota

New Mexico at UTEP
Sacramento St at Fresno St
San Jose St at Arizona St
Idaho at USC
Northern Colorado at Hawaii


Monday, September 3


Texas Tech at SMU
Florida St at Clemson

Week 1 Thursday / Friday Predictions

Thursday, August 30

Buffalo at Rutgers
Miami Ohio at Ball St
Southeast Missouri St at Cincinnati
Tulsa at Louisiana-Monroe
Murray St at Louisville
Kent St at Iowa St
Southeastern Louisiana at New Mexico St
LSU at Mississippi St
UNLV at Utah St
Weber St at Boise St
Utah at Oregon St



Friday, August 31

Navy at Temple
Washington at Syracuse

Preseason Bowl Predictions

BCS Championship Game
USC vs. LSU


Orange Bowl
Georgia Tech vs. West Virginia


Fiesta Bowl
Texas vs. Louisville


Rose Bowl
Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma


Sugar Bowl
Michigan vs. Hawaii


Capital One Bowl
Arkansas vs. Penn St


Gator Bowl
Rutgers vs. Florida St


Cotton Bowl
Auburn vs. Nebraska


Outback Bowl
Florida vs. Purdue


Insight Bowl
Michigan St vs. Kansas St


Chick-Fil-A Bowl
South Carolina vs. Virginia Tech


Holiday Bowl
UCLA vs. Missouri


Sun Bowl
Oregon vs. Oklahoma St


Liberty Bowl
Georgia vs. Southern Miss


Alamo Bowl
Ohio St vs. Texas A&M


Music City Bowl
Tennessee vs. Miami


Meineke Car Care Bowl
South Florida vs. NC State


Champs Sports Bowl
Clemson vs. Iowa


Poinsettia Bowl
Navy vs. Utah


Papajohns.com Bowl
East Carolina vs. Cincinnati


Emerald Bowl
Arizona St vs. Boston College


Independence Bowl
Vanderbilt vs. Texas Tech


GMAC Bowl
Central Michigan vs. Houston


Hawaii Bowl
UCF vs. Fresno St


Las Vegas Bowl
California vs. TCU


Humanitarian Bowl
Virginia vs. Boise St


Armed Forces Bowl
Oregon St vs. BYU


Motor City Bowl
Western Michigan vs. Memphis


Texas Bowl
Tulsa vs. Toledo


New Orleans Bowl
Troy vs. SMU


New Mexico Bowl
New Mexico vs. San Jose St


International Bowl
Kent St vs. Notre Dame

ACC Preview

Predicted Order of Finish


Atlantic

Florida St | 6-2 | 9-3

Clemson | 5-3 | 8-4

NC State | 4-4 | 7-5

Boston College | 4-4 | 7-5

Maryland | 3-5 | 5-7

Wake Forest | 3-5 | 5-7



Coastal

Georgia Tech | 7-1 | 11-1

Virginia Tech | 7-1 | 10-2

Miami | 5-3 | 7-5

Virginia | 3-5 | 6-6

North Carolina | 2-6 | 3-9

Duke | 0-8 | 0-12



Atlantic

Florida St was surprisingly down last year, needing an Emerald Bowl win to finish with a winning record. There are signs to point to them having a much better team this season. The offense struggled several times, especially the running game. OC Jimbo Fisher, who was brought in over the offseason, should be able to turn this unit around. Florida St was 5-2 in close games last season, and the only team that beat them by more than a TD was Wake Forest. The offense should turn the ball over less, especially the 16 interceptions last year. One thing to watch is that they only have five home games, plus one neutral site game in Jacksonville. If they can win the opener at Clemson, they have a great shot at starting 8-0. The last four games are killer, with three on the road and all four against tough opponents. If the Seminoles can get through their tough schedule, it's not out of the question to see them in the National Championship game.


Clemson started off really strong last season, going 7-1 and being ranked as high as 10th before losing four of the last five. The first eight games included wins over both participants in the ACC Championship game (Georgia Tech and Wake Forest) and a road win over Florida St. The offense will feature one of the best running back tandems in the country with James Davis and CJ Spiller. Last year they combined for over 2000 yards and 27 TDs. Both the offense and defense ranked high nationally last season, so the five losses were very disappointing. The Tigers should be one of the top teams in the Atlantic division again.


NC State is the surprise team in the ACC. Last year they started off 3-2 with wins over Boston College and Florida St. After that, they lost the final seven games and head coach Chuck Amato was shown the door. Replacing him is former Boston College head coach Tom O'Brien, one of the more underrated coaches. Expect an instant turnaround since O'Brien is already familiar with the conference, and he will have all the talent he needs. All of the offensive skill players return, so they should improve on their 17.5 points and 302 yards per game. Seven of the nine losses last season were by eight points or less. The Wolfpack should be back in the postseason.


Boston College is coming off a 10-3 season where the three losses were all on the road by a combined total of 12 points. The NC State game was lost on a last-second hail-mary TD. Head coach Tom O'Brien left to fill the NC State vacancy. Replacing him is Jeff Jagodzinski, the OC for the Green Bay Packers last year. Both the offense and defense were solid last season, and both return most of their contributors. If it weren't for the coaching change, they could be the favorite in the Atlantic. Even with the regime change, the Eagles will make it to a bowl game.


Maryland found a way to win nine games last season, but are unlikely to match that number again this season. They had a five game winning streak with all of the games decided by six points or less. Maryland actually scored the same amount as their opponents (284 points), so they overachieved by going 9-4. They will probably be much closer to .500 this season, especially with non-conference games against Rutgers and West Virginia. Gone is QB Sam Hollenbach, and replacing his is sophomore Josh Portis, a Florida transfer who didn't play last season. The Terrapins probably miss the bowl season this year.


Wake Forest is doubtful to repeat as ACC Champions again this season. The Atlantic division is the hardest in the country to predict, so Wake Forest could finish last or could win it again. All six teams are very close to each other. The defense was one of the best in the conference, but it loses most of its starters. The offense returns most of its starters, but does lose its top two receivers. They went 5-0 in close games, which is unlikely to happen again. The Demon Deacons may not make it to a bowl game the year after they went to a BCS Bowl.



Coastal

Georgia Tech has a great chance to win the ACC this year and is a dark-horse National Championship contender. The offense does lose WR Calvin Johnson, who was arguably the best player in college football last year. QB Taylor Bennett showed a lot of promise in the Gator Bowl, and now he has to prove his consistency as the starter. RB Tashard Choice, a transfer from Oklahoma, should have another great season in his senior year. As long as they can win the opener against Notre Dame in South Bend, the rest of the schedule works out nicely. They play Virginia Tech at home after a bye week, and they also get Boston College, Clemson and Georgia at home. The Yellow Jackets have great chance to win the Coastal division and possibly even go undefeated too.


Virginia Tech should be one of the best teams in the country, led by the best defense in the country. The defense shut out four opponents last year and only gave up an average of 11 points per game. The defense will be led by two of the best linebackers in the conference in Vince Hall and Xavier Adibi. The offense will focus on running the ball and controlling the clock, and it possible that RB Branden Ore will generate some Heisman buzz during the season. The schedule include three tough road games at LSU, Clemson and Georgia Tech. The game with LSU is potentially the best non-conference game this season. If the Hokies can win at Georgia Tech, they should win the Coastal division.


Miami is an interesting team to watch with a new coach. Larry Coker was let go before the end of the regular season, and DC Randy Shannon takes his job. Patrick Nix becomes the new OC, as he was previously the OC at Georgia Tech. The offense struggled through most of last season, but should be improved under Nix. The defense is annually one of the best in the country. The schedule includes two intriguing non-conference games against Big 12 opponents Oklahoma and Texas A&M. Other than Georgia Tech, the tougher conference games are on the road. During a transition year, the Hurricanes won't improve much on last year's record.


Virginia has the potential to be a sleeper in the ACC, but will have to improve greatly on offense to do so. The offense barely averaged more than 15 points per game and has to replace their leading rusher. The defense was really strong last year, giving up under 18 points and 300 yards per game. The defense also returns 10 starters, so they should be even better this season. If the offense is able to put up more points, then the Cavaliers should make it back to the postseason and might even be a contender in the Coastal.


North Carolina made a big splash at the end of last season when they hired Butch Davis. He put together a great recruiting class before he has even coached a game. He should bring this team back to a contender, but not a whole lot of improvement will be seen this year. This team is very young, plus Davis will probably play many of his own recruits. North Carolina should improve as the season goes along, and it would not be surprising if they are able to pull off a couple of upsets this year. It is too soon to think about bowl eligibility, but the Tar Heels are moving in the right direction.


Duke was winless last year and were actually shut out by D1-AA Richmond in the opener. They were shut out in three of the first four games. Of the 12 losses last year, only three of them were close. The offense does return all 11 starters, but there were the starters that scored less than 15 points per game last year. The defense loses a lot of contributors, so this team probably won't surprise anyone. The Blue Devils will be lucky to win a game again this year.

SEC Preview

Predicted Order of Finish


East

South Carolina | 6-2 | 10-2

Florida | 5-3 | 9-3

Tennessee | 4-4 | 8-4

Georgia | 4-4 | 7-5

Vanderbilt | 3-5 | 7-5

Kentucky | 2-6 | 5-7



West

LSU | 8-0 | 12-0

Arkansas | 6-2 | 10-2

Auburn | 5-3 | 8-4

Alabama | 3-5 | 6-6

Mississippi St | 1-7 | 4-8

Mississippi | 0-8 | 3-9



East

South Carolina has their best team under Steve Spurrier and has a great shot at winning the East division. The offense is loaded with seniors, and the defense returns almost everyone from last year. The only major loss is WR Sidney Rice, who is off to play in the NFL. South Carolina had a 3-5 conference record last year, but four of the five losses were by a TD or less. The schedule is harder than last year, with the tougher opponents on the road. The Gamecocks are improved on both sides of the ball, so they can make it to the SEC Championship game.


Florida is the reigning National Champion, but has a tough road ahead to defend their title. This team will be very young, with many of last year's contributors graduating and entering the draft. Sophomore QB Tim Tebow takes over full-time and has to prove that he can pass the ball as well as he runs it. He is the leading returning rusher with 469 yards last year. The offense is still loaded with a great line and very talented receivers. The defense a bit of a question mark, because there are only two returning starters. While this will be a talented group, many inexperienced underclassmen will start. Another cause for concern is that Florida was 5-0 in close games last season. That will be difficult to repeat. The Gators might not make it back to the BCS Championship game, but they will have another great year.


Tennessee followed up their losing season in 2005 with nine wins last year. The offense was very effective last season and should continue to be again this season. The only unknown is the receivers since the top three are gone, including the star of the offense Robert Meachem. As long as QB Erik Ainge has some good targets to aim for, the offense will continue to be one of the best in the conference. The opener at California is one of the best games in Week 1. Since the this division is so crowded, the Volunteers have a chance to win the East title.


Georgia had some struggles last year on offense as they tried to decide who to play at QB. True freshman Matthew Stafford took most of the snaps and will be this year's starter. Look for a lot of improvement in his game. The offense was tenth in the conference in total yards and last in turnovers. It's surprising that they were still able to win nine games. Most of the games last season were close, eight of them were decided by a TD or less. Georgia won five close games and lost three. The defense loses several starters, but it is always one of the best. There shouldn't be too much of a dropoff. Even in fourth place, the Bulldogs will be one of the best teams in the East.


Vanderbilt may finally break their long postseason drought and make it to a bowl game for the first time since 1982. The offense returns almost all of its starters and lettermen. It will be led by junior Chris Nickson, a dual-threat QB, and junior Earl Bennett, one of the best receivers in the game. The offensive line is made up of five seniors, all who were starters last year. The defense should also be improved over last year. The schedule works out well with eight home games, including four very winnable non-conference games. Wake Forest will prove to be the toughest non-conference test in the season finale. The Commodores have put together a team that can and should play in a bowl game.


Kentucky could have the best offense and the worst defense in the conference this year. The offense will be a lot of fun to watch with senior QB Andre Woodson at the helm. He is arguably the best QB in the conference, and he gets all of his weapons back. If the offensive line holds up, the offense could average more than 30 points per game. The defense is the polar opposite, as it was the worst in the conference and one of the worst in the country. It gave up 453 yards per games, second worst in the entire country. In fact, the defense gave up almost 100 more yards per game than the next lowest rated defense in the SEC. Those numbers have to drop tremendously for Kentucky to think about winning eight games again. Even with eight home games, the Wildcats might not even make it a bowl game this season.



West

LSU is one of the best teams in the country and has the schedule for an undefeated season. The most difficult away games are at Kentucky and Alabama. The home slate has a lot of tough opponents on it such as Virginia Tech, South Carolina, Florida, Auburn and Arkansas, but Death Valley has a very strong home field advantage. The matchup with Virginia Tech in Week 2 may be the best non-conference game of the season. The offense does lose QB JaMarcus Russell, the #1 overall pick in the NFL Draft. He will be replaced by senior Matt Flynn, who you might remember led LSU to a blowout 40-3 win over Miami in the Peach Bowl two seasons ago. The offense does lose two receivers who went in the first round of the draft, but there is enough talent still there to make up for the losses. The defense was one of the best in the country, ranking fourth in points allowed and third in total yards allowed. The Tigers will go 12-0, win the SEC Championship game, and go to the BCS Championship game.


Arkansas was a bit of a surprise team when they won the SEC West. They had an interesting season as they were blown out by USC in the opener, went on a 10 game winning streak to lock up the West title, and then lost the last three games. All four losses were to Top 10 teams. The offseason was filled with drama, and now OC Gus Malzhan is at Tulsa and QB Mitch Mustain transferred to USC. The offense will feature the best tandem of RBs in the nation in Darren McFadden and Felix Jones. McFadden is one of the preseason favorites to win the Heisman trophy. Arkansas has eight home games this season, including a very soft non-conference schedule with three Sun Belt teams and an FCS team. The Razorbacks have an excellent shot at another 10 win season and might even be considered for a BCS Bowl game.


Auburn won 11 games last season, but doesn't look to be as good this season. The offense will be led by senior QB Brandon Cox, but has to replace its top rusher and receiver. The offensive line only returns one starter, so that could be a problem. The defense was one of the best in the country last year, allowing just under 14 points per game. Week 2 features a very intriguing non-conference matchup with South Florida. The Bulls may pull an unexpected upset here. The Tigers look like they are slightly down this season.


Alabama has hired its fifth head coach in eight years after their losing season last year. Nick Saban takes over for Mike Shula, who was let go before the Independence Bowl. The offense will lean heavily on the pass, led by junior QB John Parker Wilson and a group of very talented senior receivers. The offense does have to replace its top rusher in Kenneth Darby and starting FB in Le'Ron McClain, both of whom were drafted. The defense may take a step backwards, as a lot of the contributors are gone for this season. The non-conference schedule includes an interesting date with Florida St in Jacksonville. The Crimson Tide has their new coach, but should not be that much improved over last year.


Mississippi is still looking for its first winning season and bowl game since the 2000 season. Head coach Slyvester Croom has won only three games in each of his three seasons here. The offense was one of the worst in the conference, but it does return most of its starters. The offense should improve and might average more than 20 points per game for the first time in the Croom era. The defense is mediocre, not good enough to win many more games. The non-conference schedule should include three wins, all but the game at West Virginia. The Bulldogs will need to pull a couple of upsets just to get bowl-eligible this year.


Mississippi won 10 games in 2003, but then has only won 11 games over the next three seasons. Head coach Ed Orgeron has been unsuccessful thus far to put together a winning team. This year they will have their best offense, which isn't saying much considering they have averaged less than 15 points per game in his tenure. The defense takes a big loss with Patrick Willis' departure to the NFL as a first-rounder. The Rebels will be the worst team in the SEC this year.

MAC Preview

Predicted Order of Finish

East

Kent St | 6-2 | 7-5

Bowling Green | 5-3 | 6-6

Miami Ohio | 4-3 | 4-8

Ohio | 4-4 | 6-6

Akron | 3-5 | 5-7

Buffalo | 1-7 | 2-10

Temple | 0-8 | 0-12


West

Western Michigan | 6-1 | 8-4

Central Michigan | 6-1 | 9-3

Toledo | 5-3 | 7-5

Northern Illinois | 4-3 | 6-6

Ball St | 4-3 | 5-7

Eastern Michigan | 0-7 | 1-11



East

Kent St will probably be the best team in the East and could make it to the MAC Championship game. They also could be playing in their first bowl game since 1972. They will win games much like Ohio did last year, focusing on the running game and defense. The defense should be the best in the Doug Martin era, and they should have no problem running the ball behind a veteran line. QB Julian Edelman needs only to protect the ball a little better, and the scoring should improve. As long as the Golden Flashes don't have any bad losses like the Army and Buffalo games last year, they will break their 35 year postseason drought.


Bowling Green looked promising last season starting off 4-3, but then they lost the final five games including the embarrassing one at Temple. This year most of the offense returns, so scoring should improve. This team led the conference in rushing yards last season, and could do so again this year. The defense gave up a lot of points last year, but not a lot of yards. That's a good sign for improvement in the next year. Last year's team struggled because of its youth. This year they should win more games because the experience is now there. The Falcons will contend in the East and a possible bowl game is not out of the question.


Miami Ohio was another young team last year that should bounce back in a big way this year. The running game was dreadful last year, but should be much better with one of the conference's best lines paving the way. More points will be scored with a more balanced offense. Last year they lost five games by seven points or less. The defense should be improved, especially against the run. The schedule will make it tough for a huge year, as all five non-conference games could go either way. The RedHawks are still a year away from legitimately contending in the East.


Ohio was somewhat of a surprise team, winning nine regular season games including seven consecutive leading up to the MAC Championship game. The offense is centered on the running game, and it has one of the best running backs in the conference in Kalvin McRae. Expect another big season for him in his senior season. The QB is a huge question mark, as he threw seven interceptions in 72 pass attempts as the backup last season. Those numbers must improve, or the offense will be worse. The defense was arguably the best in the conference last season and will be very good again this season. The Bobcats made it to their first bowl game in 38 years last season, and they could make it to another one this season.


Akron will have a really good defense this year, but the offense may have a tough time keeping them in games. The offense will be led by a QB who has only a single pass attempt in his career. Also, the offensive line has only one returning starter, and there are plans to start three underclassmen. Akron scored fewer than 20 points per game last season, and that number will probably go down. The defense is the bright spot and will probably help them win some games. With many of the other teams in the East improving, it looks like the Zips will miss the postseason again this year.


Buffalo only won two games last season, and one of those was against Temple in overtime. Both the offense and the defense have a lot of starting experience returning, so both sets of numbers should improve. Unfortunately, that probably won't be enough to move very far up in the standings, if at all. It's doubtful that they will win any of the non-conference matchups. The Bulls will continue to be near the bottom of the standings.


Temple joins the MAC this season. They only have one win in the past two seasons. The offense was dreadful last season, ranking 116th in the country in points scored. They were shut out three times and their highest scoring game was 28 points against Bowling Green. The defense was equally bad, giving up 40+ points in eight games and 60+ points in three games. They ranked 118th in the country in points allowed. The Owls will be fortunate to win any games this season.



West

Western Michigan has improved in both years under new head coach Bill Cubit, and in his third year he commands the best team in the MAC. QB Joe Tiller leads the offense after taking last season as his medical redshirt year. He played in the final six games of the 2005 season and had a remarkable 20-3 ratio. Despite his limited play, he was still named the MAC Freshman of the Year. He should step in to the starter's job and be productive right away. The defense is where this team really shines. This should be the best in the conference and should improve on last year's already good numbers. The Broncos are my pick to win the West and go to the MAC Championship game.


Central Michigan had a huge year winning 10 games last year including the MAC Championship game and the Motor City Bowl. Afterwards the head coach Brian Kelly took the Cincinnati job opening. Butch Jones, the WR coach at West Virginia and former OC at Central Michigan, takes over the head coaching job. The only question about the offense is the line, since they lost two players to the NFL Draft, one a first-rounder. If the line doesn't drop off too much, this will be the best offense in the conference. The winner of the West will be decided the Central Michigan @ Western Michigan game on November 6. No matter what happens in that game, the Chippewas will be playing in a bowl game again.


Toledo will try to challenge for the top spot in the West, but will fall a little short. The offense should improve with senior RB Jalen Parmele, one of the best in the conference, leading the way. The offense does need someone to step up as the starting QB, and whoever that is will have a talented and experienced group of receivers to throw to. The defense gave up a lot of points last year, but not a lot of yardage. They should also be improved this year. In a crowded West division, the Rockets may need to get an at-large bid to be playing in the postseason.


Northern Illinois has had two great running backs leading the way over the past six years. First it was Michael Turner, who now plays for the San Diego Chargers. Then it was Garrett Wolfe, who was drafted by the Chicago Bears. Those guys are the top two all-time rushing leaders for the school. It will be interesting to see if another back will step up and be the next great Northern Illinois running back. The offense will probably struggle with the loss of Wolfe and QB Phil Horvath. The non-conference schedule includes tough road games against Wisconsin and Navy, and a neutral site game against Iowa at Soldier Field. The Huskies might not make back to a bowl game this year.


Ball St involved in a lot of high-scoring games last year. They were able to score a lot of points, but gave up a lot too. The offense should continue to be good with sophomore QB Nate Davis, who had an excellent freshman season, and the top two receivers back. The running game does need to improve, so top recruit RB was brought in and will get some playing time right away. The defense continues to be the weak spot, as it ranked last in conference in passing yards and total yards allowed last year. The non-conference schedule has four tough road games, plus they play in the loaded West division. The Cardinals, who have only four senior starters, are still at least a year away from being bowl-eligible.


Eastern Michigan only won one game last year and are doubtful to improve on that record much this year. The offense struggled to score points last season, and finished averaging less than 14 per game. The defense finished last year ranked last in rushing yards allowed and tenth in total yards allowed. The Eagles may not win any more games this season than they did last season.

C-USA Preview

Predicted Order of Finish


East

Southern Miss | 7-1 | 9-3

East Carolina | 6-2 | 7-5

UCF | 6-2 | 7-5

Memphis | 4-4 | 7-5

Marshall | 2-6 | 3-9

UAB | 1-7 | 2-10



West

Houston | 7-1 | 9-3

SMU | 5-3 | 7-5

Tulsa | 4-4 | 7-5

UTEP | 3-5 | 4-8

Rice | 2-6 | 3-9

Tulane | 1-7 | 2-10



East

Southern Miss should be the best team in the East division, punching their ticket to the conference championship game for their second straight year. This team will be led by its defense, which was first in the conference in points allowed and second in total yards allowed. This year it could be even better. The offense will pound the ball and try to control the clock, relying on sophomore RB Damion Fletcher. He had a huge season as a true freshman, rushing for 1388 yards and 11 TDs. The non-conference schedule includes tough road games at Tennessee and Boise St. They also miss the top two teams from the West (Houston and Tulsa), so expect another great season by the Golden Eagles.


East Carolina should challenge for the top spot in the East division. The offense loses most of its skill players, but it returns a veteran offensive line. Last year the passing game dominated the offense, expect more balance this year. The defense will be one of the best in the conference, which will keep the pressure off the offense. The only question mark on defense is the young but talented secondary. The non-conference schedule has four quality opponents, so wins will come at a premium. If the offense doesn't have any major trouble, expect the Pirates to be playing in the postseason again.


UCF made an unexpected run to the conference title game in 2005, but then had a disappointing year in 2006. Expect them to be back in a big way this season. The offense was strange last year as it put up a lot of yardage but not a lot of points. The scoring should be back this season. The offense is led by QB Kyle Israel, who played about half the time last year, and RB Kevin Smith, who should be one of the best rushers in the conference. Most of the offensive line and receivers are back, so the offense should be top-notch. The defense had problems last year, especially with forcing turnovers. It should improve this year. UCF opens its brand new on-campus stadium in Week 3 against Texas. The Golden Knights will contend for the East and play in their second bowl game.


Memphis was the most disappointing team in the conference, following up three straight bowl seasons with a two win season. Everything is in place for a much better year. The offense is led by a senior QB and RB, and the receivers are a talented and experienced group. The defense was the main problem last year, giving up over 30 points and 400 yards per game. The DC was fired after the third game, and the defense never recovered. Memphis did show some promise in the last three games of the season, playing UCF and Houston close and beating UTEP in the finale. The Tigers also play a relatively easy non-conference, so they also have a great shot at making a bowl this year.


Marshall had not had a losing season since 1983 until they moved to Conference USA in 2005. Then they had losing seasons in both years as a member in C-USA. It's the third year in head coach Mark Snyder's tenure, and he may need to show some improvement to keep his seat from getting warm. The offense was a predominantly rushing attack with the 1500+ yards and 19 TDs from Ahmad Bradshaw. Bradshaw is off to the NFL, and now the offense has to fill that void. The passing game should improve behind a senior QB and one of the best TEs in the conference in Cody Slate. The defense gave up a lot of points last season, especially through the air. One bright spot is that they have DE Albert McClellan, who had 11.5 sacks last year. The schedule is extremely difficult with road trips to Tulsa and Houston from the West and three tough non-conference games. The Thundering Herd will have their third consecutive losing season.


UAB is in a transition year with a new head coach and a ton of young players. Head coach Watson Brown was replaced at the end of last season by the Georgia's OC Neil Callaway. The offense loses most of its rushers, receivers and linemen, but does get back two QBs. One is Sam Hunt, the senior and opening day starter. The other is Joe Webb, the QB of the future who will line up at receiver when Hunt is behind center. The defense also loses a lot of contributors. The secondary is the only defensive unit with a lot of experience. The non-conference schedule includes three road games that will be hard to win. The Blazers are young and inexperienced at most positions on both sides of the ball, so wins will be few and far between.



West

Houston is the hardest team to predict in the conference. On one hand, head coach Art Briles has put together a solid team all around that should contend in the West year after year. On the other hand, they do lose QB Kevin Kolb and WR Vincent Marshall, the team's all-time leading passer and receiver. Kolb has been the starter for all four years that Briles has been the head coach. It seems impossible that anyone can come in and match that kind of production. Even with those two major losses, the offense does have a veteran line, the top rusher and two other receivers returning. The defense should be near the top of the conference. The Cougars will inevitably be worse on offense this season, but still are the team to beat in the West.


SMU has a great chance to play in a bowl game for the first time since the 1984 season. They just missed out on a bowl last season when they lost to Rice by four points in the season finale. This year they will be led by QB Justin Willis, who last year was chosen the C-USA Freshman Player of the Year. The offense also gets back its top rusher and receiver, as well as four linemen. The offense should be much improved over last year's that averaged less than 320 yards per game. The defense is a little inexperienced on the line, but still should be effective. The Mustangs have an excellent shot to show everyone how good they are when Texas Tech comes to Dallas for the first game of the season.


Tulsa has been one of the best teams in the West over the past two years, so it will be interesting to see what they do in somewhat of a transition year. Head coach Steve Kragthorpe left to take the opening at Louisville in the offseason. Taking his spot is Todd Graham, the former head coach at Rice who took them to a bowl for the first time in 45 years in his first season. Graham was the DC at Tulsa for the first three years of Kragthorpe's tenure, so he is stepping into a familiar situation. The offense doesn't have many returning starters, but does have senior playmakers in QB Paul Smith and RB Courtney Tennial. The top two receivers are gone as well as four offensive linemen, but they still could put up numbers comparable to last year. The defense may take a small step backwards, if only because it was one of the best in the conference last season. The Golden Hurricane should go to their third straight bowl game even with the coaching change.


UTEP looked like a good team for the first half of the season, but then fell apart and only won one of the last six games. Now their situation is eerily like Houston's, as they must also replace the school's all-time leading passer in Jordan Palmer and all-time leading receiver in Johnny Lee Higgins. The running game was atrocious last season, averaging only 58 yards per game. That total was worst in the conference and fourth worst in the country. The defense gave up over 30 points per game last season and only returns four starters. The Miners will have an even worse record this year.


Rice was one of the most surprising teams in the country last year, going from a one win season in 2005 to a seven win season in 2006. Rice was also one of the most overachieving teams last year, since they had a winning record while being outscored by over six points and 70 yards per game. That's a red flag that they won't be that good consistently. Also, the head coach left for the Tulsa job after just one season. Replacing him is former Texas St head coach David Bailiff. The passing game shouldn't drop off with the return of QB Chase Clement and WR Jarett Dillard, who caught 21 TD passes and was named a Second Team All-American. The running game is the unknown, as the projected starter was a backup CB last year. The defense is the biggest concern, teams don't usually have winning records when they rank last in the conference in yards allowed and next to last in points scored. The Owls will probably win less than half as many games as last season.


Tulane is the third team in the West going through a coaching change, but they were the only one whose coach was let go instead of leaving for another opportunity. The new head coach is Bob Toledo, who is known most as being the head coach of UCLA from 1996-2002. Last year he was the OC at New Mexico. Last year the offense relied heavily on the pass, ranking 11th in the conference in rushing yards. Now QB Lester Ricard is gone, so the offense may try to run more. Tulane only scored 18.7 points per game and gave up 33.3 points per game, both were worst in the conference. Too much is going against the Green Wave for them to even match last season's mark of four wins.

Pac 10 Preview

Predicted Order of Finish

USC | 9-0 | 12-0

UCLA | 6-3 | 9-3

Oregon | 6-3 | 8-4

Oregon St | 6-3 | 9-3

Arizona St | 5-4 | 8-4

California | 5-4 | 7-5

Arizona | 3-6 | 5-7

Washington St | 3-6 | 5-7

Washington | 2-7 | 3-10

Stanford | 0-8 | 0-12



USC will again be one of the best teams in the nation this year. After losing two games in a season for the first time since 2002, they have an excellent chance to go undefeated and play in the BCS National Championship game. The offense was second in the conference in points scored, although it was there lowest showing since the 2001 season. The offense should improve this year under senior QB John David Booty, who many consider the leading Heisman candidate in the preseason. If there is a question mark anywhere in the offense, it's the receivers. With Dwayne Jarrett and Steve Smith becoming second round NFL Draft picks, the new starters are inexperienced but very talented. The defense should be one of the best Pete Carroll has ever had. There are 10 starters returning, so this is a very experienced group. Even with non-conference road trips to Nebraska and Notre Dame, the Trojans should still be 12-0 at the end of the season and playing for another National Championship.


UCLA won 10 games in 2005, and they look prepared to match that number in 2007. The offense wasn't great last year, so most of the games were won by the defense. Expect the offense to be vastly improved, with all of last year's starters back except for the LT. The QB play of last season was erratic as Patrick Cowan and Ben Olson split time under center. Olson was injured in the fifth game of the season, but he will be the starter this year. If he stays healthy, the QB play will be more consistent and put up better numbers. The defense was great last year and could be even better this year. 10 starters return, but the loss of DE Justin Hickman and his 12.5 sacks is a big one. The Bruins should win a lot of games, but will need a few breaks to challenge for the conference championship.


Oregon was one of the best teams in the conference until they lost their last four games. When the offense was clicking, it was one of the best. It should be good again this season behind QB Dennis Dixon and RB Jonathan Stewart. Dixon should cut back on his mistakes now that he's a senior and Stewart looks poised for a breakout year. The only problem with the offense was turnovers. They turned the ball over 32 times, most in the conference. The defense gave up a lot of points, but not a lot of yardage. In fact, Oregon outgained its opponents by an average of over 100 yards per game. Everything is pointing to the Ducks having a great year.


Oregon St won 10 games last year but are unlikely to accomplish that feat again. The offense does have great skill players in RB Yvenson Bernard and WR Sammie Stroughter, but must break in a sophomore as the new starting QB. The defense was middle of the pack last year, but did force 32 turnovers to lead the conference. It is very difficult to get that many takeaways two years in a row. In the last three games, they won by a combined total of six points. If they get consistent quality play from their new QB and the defense is solid, it could be another great season for the Beavers.


Arizona St should have a great offense this season. If the defense comes around, they will have an excellent year. Head coach Dirk Koetter was let go at the end of last season, and former Idaho head coach Dennis Erickson replaces him. QB Rudy Carpenter went through a sophomore slump, but RB Ryan Torain had a huge year. Behind a veteran offensive line, both could have good years and the offense will be much improved. The defense is the big question mark. It doesn't have to be great since the offense will score a lot. Even with a coaching change, the Sun Devils will be an improved team.


California won 10 games last year including a blowout of Texas A&M in the Holiday Bowl. This year may be a bit of a rebuilding year for them. Gone is RB Marshawn Lynch to the NFL. He had over 1500 total yards, 15 TDs and was named the Pac 10 Offensive Player of the Year. RB Justin Forsett takes over for Lynch, and while he will be good, his production won't be that high. WR DeSean Jackson returns and should be one of the best receivers in the country. Look for him to have several big plays catching the ball and returning punts. Actually this could be the nation's best group of receivers. The defense looks like it's taking a step back, sonce five starters are gone, three of whom were drafted. Unless the defense is better than expected, the Golden Bears won't repeat as conference co-champs.


Arizona just missed out on a bowl last season when they lost the season finale to instate rival Arizona St. Last year's offense never got off the ground, ranking ahead of only Stanford in the conference in points scored and total yards. The offense loses RB Chris Henry who declared early for the NFL Draft. The offense as a whole unit will have to step up to get them back to a bowl. On the other side of the ball, the defense is one of the best in the conference and could e even better this year. Most of last year's starters return, so this is an experienced and talented group. If the Wildcats can pull off a couple of upsets behind their killer defense, they could be playing in their first bowl game in the Mike Stoops era.


Washington St could be an underrated team, especially if the defense is better than expected. This team also missed out on a bowl when they lost the season finale to Washington by three points at home. The offense should be improved behind senior QB Alex Brink who should cut down on his mistakes in his last season. RB Dwight Tardy showed potential as a freshman, and now he needs to live up to it in his second season. The defense is suspect because it lacks experience. The Cougars haven't been bowling since 2003 and won't make it this year without a couple of surprise wins.


Washington started off last season 4-1 before losing six straight, including an embarrassing 20-3 loss to Stanford at home. It was Stanford's only win of the year. The starting QB of last year is gone and now there is a battle for the position between last year's back up senior Carl Bonnell and top recruit redshirt freshman Jake Locker. The projected starting RB wasn't eligible his freshman season, so he doesn't have any experience either. The defense wasn't great last year, and it doesn't look that improved this year. The out-of-conference schedule is killer with games against Boise St, Ohio St and Hawaii. The Huskies are probably going to have a bad year.


Stanford is in a transition year with coaching change. Head coach Walt Harris was let go after last season, and he is replaced by Jim Harbaugh. Harbaugh was the head coach at D1-AA San Diego where he went 27-2 over his last 29 games. The offense ranked second to last in the entire country in points scored, only ahead of FIU. They were also next to last in total yards, ahead of only Temple. It is going to take a lot to make those numbers respectable again. The defense had its problems too, ranking last in the conference in points and total yards allowed. Harbaugh was a great hire, but he has his work cut out for him. The Cardinal might not even win a game this year.

Big Ten Preview

Predicted Order of Finish

Wisconsin | 7-1 | 11-1

Michigan | 7-1 | 11-1

Penn St | 6-2 | 10-2

Purdue | 6-2 | 10-2

Ohio St | 5-3 | 9-3

Iowa | 4-4 | 8-4

Michigan St | 3-5 | 6-6

Illinois | 2-6 | 5-7

Indiana | 2-6 | 4-8

Northwestern | 1-7 | 5-7

Minnesota | 1-7 | 5-7



Wisconsin had an amazing season under first year coach Bret Bielema, finishing with a Capital One Bowl win over Arkansas. The losses on offense are minimal, with just the starting QB and LT gone. RB P.J. Hill had an amazing freshman season with 1500+ yards and 15 TDs. He won Big Ten Freshman of the Year honors and was named a Freshman All-American. New starting QB Tyler Donovan was effective in his limited experience last year, and he gets his top two receivers and top two tight ends back. The defense was phenomenal last season, ranking second in the country in points allowed and passing yards allowed. The defense returns seven starters and should again be one of the best in the conference and the nation. Wisconsin is one of the top teams this year, but must play Ohio St and Michigan on the road. I predict they split those games, falling just short of an undefeated season. The Badgers will still win the Big Ten and make their first trip to the Rose Bowl since the 1999 season.


Michigan was a three point loss to Ohio St away from playing in the National Championship game last year. This year they will make another run at the title. The offense is balanced, experienced and full of future NFL Draft choices. QB Chad Henne and RB Michael Hart are both legitimate Heisman contenders, although playing in the same backfield will hurt their chances. The defense was also amazing last year, especially against the run. Opponents were held to 43.4 yards per game, lowest in the nation by more than 17 yards per game. The defense does take a hit with seven starters gone, five of whom were drafted. The schedule has a tough home slate of Oregon, Notre Dame, Penn St, Purdue, and Ohio St, but it will be the road game to Wisconsin in November that will kill their National Championship dreams. The Wolverines will still have a tremendous season and will have a great shot a getting an at-large BCS Bowl bid.


Penn St is another great team at the crowded top of the conference. The offense should be better than last year with a senior QB and most of the offensive weapons. RB Tony Hunt put up big numbers last season and is off to play on Sundays, but RB Austin Scott should be fill in nicely after using his medical redshirt last season. The defense was seventh in the country in rushing yards allowed and ninth in points allowed last season. It should continue to be strong, although it is younger and less experienced. The defensive line is the biggest question, where three sophomores are projected to start. If it comes together quickly, look for another big year like 2005. Most of the tough games are at home, but they do have to travel to play Michigan. The Nittany Lions should have double-digit wins this season.


Purdue is the surprise team in the Big Ten this year. The offense should be the best in the conference, with the ability to put up a lot of points. Last year the offense gained a lot of yardage, but didn't score a lot of points. Expect that to change this season with returning starters at all of the skill positions and a strong offensive line. The defense gave a ton of yardage and points last season, but it does return nine starters. The schedule isn't easy, but I'm still going to predict the Boilermakers to have a 10-win season.


Ohio St was one of only two teams to finish the regular season unbeaten last year. They did get blown out in the National Championship game, but this is still an elite team. The offense had five starters drafted (including the Heisman winner) and another graduated. The talent is there as always, but the experience is lacking. The defense also takes a hit, as the defensive line needs to be rebuilt. The schedule is difficult, with road games at Purdue, Penn St, and Michigan. The Buckeyes will have another great year, but a dropoff from last year seems inevitable.


Iowa was one of the most disappointing teams in the country last year, but should rebound this year. The offense lacks experience at QB and on the line, but the running backs and receivers should be fine. The offense gained a lot of yardage last year, but killed themselves with a lot of turnovers. The defense should be great, with eight starters returning including the entire line. Another thing in Iowa's favor is that Michigan and Ohio St fall off the schedule this year. All of the home games are winnable, but they do have to go on the road to play Wisconsin, Penn St and Purdue. The Hawkeyes should be back to Big Ten contenders after last year's rare losing season.


Michigan St was a much better team than their record last year, but they just fell apart after a late collapse to Notre Dame. They only added one more win after that game, and they needed 38 unanswered points to get that win. Last year's collapse cost head coach John L. Smith his job. They hired former Cincinnati head coach Mark Dantonio to replace Smith. Dantonio is a good hire, and I think he can lead this team to a bowl this year. The offense will be run-first with the loss of QB Drew Stanton and the top three receivers. The running backs and offensive line are deep and experienced, so they should be able to carry the offense. The schedule does them no favors, as they miss Illinois and Minnesota. The Spartans will win just enough to make it to the postseason.


Illinois won just two games last year, but played almost everybody close. Head coach Ron Zook has recruited like mad and has a team that could surprise. The offense has a veteran line, and solid rushers and receivers. The big question mark is the play of QB Juice Williams. As a true freshman last year, he started in nine games. He completed fewer the 40% of his passes, but did run for 576 yards. If he can become a dual threat QB, look for the offense to score a lot more points. Turnovers were a big problem last season, as Illinois averaged almost three per game. The defense didn't give up much yardage, but opponents still put up a lot of points. If everything comes together, the Illini could have a breakout year.


Indiana almost made it to the postseason last year, as they were 5-4 at one point before losing their last three games. The program suffered the tragic death of their head coach Terry Hoeppner during the offseason. OC Bill Lynch will take over the head coaching duties. The offense returns most of its starters, but it still needs to develop a running game after ranking last in the conference in rushing yards. This team overachieved a little last year, winning three games by a combined six points. Even though the team is improved all around, the record might actually go down. Michigan and Ohio St fall off the schedule, but it won't be enough. The Hoosiers aren't going to break their 14-year bowl drought this season.


Northwestern was out in a difficult position last year with the tragic death of their head coach just before the season began. The offense had a difficult time getting in a groove as the top two QBs went down with injury. The third-stringer started three games before the starter C.J. Bacher was healthy again. The offense was ranked last in the conference in points scored and total yards. Consistent QB play this year should help to improve those numbers. The defense should improve too, as the entire line and four in the back seven return. A weak out-of-conference schedule gives them a great shot at getting back to a bowl game, but I think the Wildcats are still a year away.


Minnesota appears to be in a transition year, and the final record should reflect that. They fired their head coach after a late collapse in the Insight Bowl to Texas Tech. The new head coach is Tim Brewster, the former TE coach for the Denver Broncos. The offense loses its three year starting QB Bryan Cupito, the school's all-time leading passer. Expect a heavy dose of RB Amir Pinnix, as the passing game needs time to reload. Offensive production should be way down compared to last season. The defense was bad last year, but did force a lot of turnovers. All four non-conference games should be wins, so that will keep this year from being a disaster. Just don't expect too much out of the Golden Gophers in conference play.

Big East Preview

Predicted Order of Finish

West Virginia | 6-1 | 11-1

Louisville | 6-1 | 11-1

Rutgers | 5-2 | 10-2

South Florida | 4-3 | 9-3

Cincinnati | 3-4 | 7-5

Pittsburgh | 3-4 | 6-6

Connecticut | 1-6 | 5-7

Syracuse | 0-7 | 2-10



West Virginia is one of the best teams in the country this year and is a legitimate National Championship contender. QB Pat White and RB Steve Slaton, both who are Heisman candidates, will lead an elite offense. White has grown as a passer in his first two years, completing almost two-thirds of his attempts last year and throwing 13 TDs. Of course both are explosive runners, combining for almost 3000 yards and 34 TDs on the ground. The offense does lose its top receiver and All-American and Rimington Trophy winner C Dan Mozes. The offense will be one of the best in the NCAA again (3rd in points scored last year.) The defense returns eight starters, including all four in the secondary. Pass defense was a problem last year, but should be improved with the experience. The schedule has four road trips in five weeks early in the season, but the showdown with Louisville is at home. The Mountaineers have an excellent shot to go undefeated, or at least win the Big East.


Louisville is also a National Championship contender this season, even with a first year head coach. Previous head coach Bobby Petrino left for the Atlanta Falcons job, so Steve Kragthorpe of Tulsa takes over. QB Brian Brohm is back for his senior season, and should be in the Heisman race. He gets all of his receivers and the tight end back. The running game should continue to succeed, even with the losses of Michael Bush and Kolby Smith to the NFL. Last year Louisville was second in the NCAA in total yards, and it doesn't look like there will be any dropoff this season. Last year's defense was underrated, ranking 17th in fewest points allowed with 16.3 per game. The defense does lose five starters, but brings in two top JUCO recruits. The talent level is high enough to prevent a dip in production. Even with a new coach, the Cardinals should be one of the top teams.


Rutgers was one of the surprise teams last season and should have another great season. RB Ray Rice looks to follow up his 1800 yard and 20 TD sophomore season with another great year. He is the fourth Heisman candidate in the Big East. The offense gets its QB and both starting receivers, but loses its FB Brian Leonard and TE Clark Harris to the NFL Draft. The defense was one of the best in the country, allowing only 14.3 points per game (eighth in the NCAA.) The defense held six teams to under 200 yards of offense and seven teams to 10 points or less. The schedule is manageable, with home games against South Florida and West Virginia. Expect another great year for the Scarlet Knights.


South Florida came on strong at the end of last year with an athletic defense and the mobility of QB Matt Grothe. Grothe was the leading rusher and accounted for 24 TDs as a redshirt freshman. The entire offensive line returns, which should help an offense that only scored 23 points per game. The defense averaged less than 17 points and 300 total yards allowed last season. Nobody was able to pass for 300 yards on them. The Bulls could upset Louisville or West Virginia, especially since both of them have to come to Tampa. The out of conference lineup includes an interesting game at Auburn in the second week. South Florida could surprise a lot of people with an upset here, which I am predicting.


Cincinnati was a very tough team to beat at home last year. They went 6-1 with wins over Rutgers and South Florida. This season they get West Virginia and Louisville at home, and it wouldn't be that surprising if they won one of them. The offense didn't score a lot of points last year, only 20 per game, but the defense kept them in most games. In fact they were outscored for the season by nine points, but still had an 8-5 record. Previous head coach Mark Dantonio left for the Michigan St opening. Central Michigan's head coach is the replacement, coming off a 10 win season, MAC Championship, and Motor City Bowl win. Kelly is a great young coach, so I don't expect much of a transition year. The Bearcats will be bowling again this year.


Pittsburgh started off last season 6-1 before losing the last five games, including a double overtime heartbreaker at Connecticut when they were by 14 points headed into the fourth quarter. The offense was third best in the Big East last year behind the great senior season of QB Tyler Palko. Now Palko is gone, and a QB battle begins between last year's back junior Bill Stull and the incoming top recruit Pat Bostick. The offense also lost its top receiver Derek Kinder in fall practice with a torn ACL. He will medical redshirt this year and come back for his senior season in 2008. The defense loses five starters, three of whom were drafted. The Panthers are a 6-6 team again this year and probably won't make it to the postseason.


Connecticut is trying to climb back to respectability and make it the second bowl game in their history. They will come close this year, but will need to pull a couple of surprises to get there this season. Last year the offense had two QBs, and neither one established himself as the starter. This year that won't be a problem as one graduated and the other moves to receiver. The QB will be JUCO transfer Tyler Lorenzen. The offense is very young with only one senior starter (WR). The schedule works out nicely with three definite wins against Duke, Maine, and Temple to open the season. The Huskies are probably still a year away.


Syracuse has struggled under the first two years under head coach Greg Robinson, and they don't look to be improved in the third year. The offense couldn't score points last season, and now it has to replace the graduating QB and top running back, who is taking a medical redshirt this year after dislocating his hip in the spring. The defense gave up a lot of yards last season, but not a lot of points. 28 turnovers helped keep the opponent's score low. The defense has to replace six starters and is unlikely to force that many takeaways again. It is unlikely that the Orange will win a conference game, after only winning one last year. Coach Robinson may be on the hot seat at the end of the season.

Independents Preview

Predicted Finish

Army | 3-9

Navy | 7-5

Notre Dame | 6-6


Army only won three games last year, and looks to be at the same level this year. Two of the wins were in overtime, and the other was against VMI. Discounting the VMI game, the offense only averaged 15.45 ppg and 246 ypg. Army turned the ball over 37 times last season, on average more than three times per game. The offense returns both QBs and all of the top rushers, so the experience should help them hold on to the ball more. The Black Knights will probably match last year's win total, but no more.


Navy won nine games last year, but only beat one bowl team (East Carolina). Navy was the top rushing team in the NCAA last season, and will probably achieve that honor again. The defense only returns three starters, so that's a major concern. The schedule is also more difficult, with road trips to Rutgers, Pittsburgh, and Notre Dame. If Navy is bowl eligible at the end of the season, the Poinsettia Bowl will give them an invite. While the Midshipmen won't win nine games this season, they will be playing in San Diego in December.


Notre Dame has gone 19-6 over the past two years with two BCS Bowl appearances, but this looks like it will be a down season. The offense loses its QB, top RB, and three of the top four receivers. In fact there are only 10 returning lettermen on offense. The defense doesn't fare much better, with only five starters returning. This is a young team on both sides of the ball, with only six seniors as projected starters. The schedule is going to be killer for a young team. Wins will be hard to come by during the first eight games. I'm predicting them to be 2-6 going into their bye week. Then the last four games are the easiest on the schedule and should all be wins. I wouldn't be surprised is the Irish don't make it to a bowl game this season.

Big 12 Preview

Predicted Order of Finish


Big 12 North

Nebraska | 7-1 | 10-2

Missouri | 6-2 | 10-2

Kansas St | 5-3 | 7-5

Colorado | 4-4 | 5-7

Kansas | 2-6 | 5-7

Iowa St | 0-8 | 2-10


Big 12 South

Texas | 7-1 | 11-1

Oklahoma | 7-1 | 11-1

Texas A&M | 4-4 | 7-5

Oklahoma St | 4-4 | 7-5

Texas Tech | 2-6 | 6-6

Baylor | 0-8 | 3-9



North

Nebraska will be back in the Big 12 Title game again this season. The starting QB and RB from last season are gone, but the replacements should fill in nicely. Sam Keller, who transferred from Arizona St, takes the starting QB role after sitting out last year. Marlon Lucky had over 1100 combined rushing and receiving yards, so he be a star as the feature back. All of the receivers are back, and the defense should be nasty as always. The schedule includes a great game with USC in Week 3, plus tough conference road games at Missouri and Texas. The Cornhuskers should have double-digit wins and a chance to win the conference.


Missouri should battle Nebraska all year long for the top of the Big 12 North. The offense should be one of the best in the conference, with most of the contributors returning. QB Chase Daniel should improve with a year starting under his belt, and the running game should be solid like last year. The defense may be a little worse, but that should e offset by the improved offense. The schedule works out well for the Tigers too. They play Nebraska at home after a bye week. That showdown is followed up with a road matchup with Oklahoma. Missouri might win 10 wins in the regular season, but still might not be enough to dethrone the 'Huskers.


Kansas St had a great first year under new head coach Ron Prince, until Rutgers whipped them in the Texas Bowl. With 15 returning starters, they could be even better this year. QB Josh Freeman had a lot of growing pains as a true freshman, but showed a lot of potential too. In his second season, his interceptions should go down and his completion percentage up. The top two rushers, top receiver, and both tight ends are back. The defense should play at the same level, but the offense will put more points on the board. Look for the Wildcats to be playing in the postseason again.


Colorado was much worse last year than anybody could have predicted. They only won two games, lost to Montana St, gave up two late touchdowns to Georgia and lost by a single point, and lost in triple overtime to Baylor. Last year's QB returns, but he will have to fight the coach's son and a JUCO transfer for the starting position. The top rusher and all of the receivers return, and the offense added the highest touted offensive linemen recruit out of high school. Last season the offense was futile, ranking last in the conference in both points scored, passing yards, and total yards. The defense looks to be about the same level again, but the offense has to be better as it couldn't get any worse. The Buffaloes won't be bowling this year, but they will win more games.


Kansas almost made it to a bowl game last year, but will probably regress some this year. The running game takes a huge hit with the graduation of Jon Cornish (1457 yards, 8 TDs). The new starting RB only had 21 carries last season with a 3.5 ypc average. Joining him in the backfield will be QB Kerry Meier. Meier split time with Adam Barmann last year, but now Barmann is gone and Meier has to prove that he can carry the entire load. The defense should put up better numbers this season, but unfortunately the offense takes a big step back. The Jayhawks are at least a year away from going back to the postseason.


Iowa St was at the bottom of the Big 12 standings last season, and don't look to be that much improved this season. The previous head coach was let go and replaced with Gene Chizik, the former DC at Texas and Auburn. I think this is a great hire for them, but it will take a couple of years before that shows up in the standings. The offense loses its top two running backs, top receiver, and four starting linemen. The running looks to be so lacking, that Chizik recruited one of the top JUCO backs to come in and be the starter this year. The line will have to come together or it won't matter who the running back is. The defense should improve greatly with Chizik taking over. The offense won't be any batter, and actually could be worse. The Cyclones will be at the bottom of the standings again.



South

Texas lost the last two regular season games to miss playing in the Big 12 title game, despite beating Oklahoma earlier in the year. QB Colt McCoy put up amazing numbers as a freshman, and should be in Heisman discussions as a sophomore. The offense also gets back its leading rusher Jamaal Charles and its leading receiver Limas Sweed, one of the best in the whole country. The defense and special teams should be top notch like last year, when they scored eight touchdowns. The schedule has several good games, including home dates against TCU and Nebraska, the season finale at Texas A&M, and as always the Red River Rivalry with Oklahoma in Dallas. The Longhorns are talented enough to make it to the BCS Championship Game, but I predict them to fall a little short. A Fiesta Bowl appearance will be their consolation prize.


Oklahoma is right there at the top of the Big 12 South with Texas. After backing into the Big 12 Championship Game last year, they beat Nebraska and lost in an overtime thriller to Boise St in the Fiesta Bowl. This season they must replace first round draft choice Adrian Peterson and their starting QB. All of the receivers return as well as four linemen. Battling for the starting role at QB will be redshirt freshman Sam Bradford and junior Joey Halzle. Splitting carries in the backfield will be the highly recruited redshirt freshman DeMarco Murray and senior Allen Patrick (761 yards, 4 TDs last season). The defense allowed the fewest points in the conference last season, and should be just tough again. The question mark at QB is just enough to keep the Sooners out of the Big 12 Title game.


Texas A&M lost three regular season games by a total of six points before getting thrashed in the Holiday Bowl by Cal. This year, they could make some noise in the South. The offense will be one of the top rushing teams in the country, and the defense will hold most teams in check. The top two rushers and the QB are back behind a veteran offensive line, so expect a scoring average over 30 points per game. The schedule includes an interesting OOC date at Miami, tough road matchups with Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Missouri, plus the season finale against Texas at home. The Aggies have too difficult of a schedule to win the South, although they are at the same level as Oklahoma and Texas this year.


Oklahoma St will have the best offense in the Big 12 this season. The offense gets back the QB, the top two rushers, and the top receiver Adarius Bowman, an All-American talent. The offense will have to score a ton of points, to compensate for the holes on defense. Last year, the Cowboys were 10th in the conference in points allowed, ahead of only Iowa St and Baylor. This year the entire back seven returns, but none of the linemen do. The defensive line will have to prove itself, or every game will deteriorate into a shootout. While this should be a fun team to watch, I don't see them as being a serious player in the South.


Texas Tech is back for another year of lighting up the scoreboard, even if they are a little down. The QB and RB are back, but the top two receivers as well as four linemen are gone. Two sophomores will try to fill in on the offensive line, so this unit is a major question mark. The defensive line isn't any better, with only one starter returning. Three sophomores will take the other starting roles, so it becomes an even bigger question flag. Football games are won and lost in the trenches, so I expect Texas Tech to have a hard time winning games. The Red Raider offense should be just explosive enough to get into a bowl game.


Baylor experimented with implementing the Texas Tech offense last season with mixed results. They won three Big 12 games, most ever for them, but they only won four total games. QB Shawn Bell ran the offense effectively for the first nine games until he was lost for the season. The last three games without him were all blowout losses. Bell graduated, and now the battle for the starter job begins. The backup QB struggled in his three starts, so two other QBs were brought in. One was the starter for Kent St in 2005, and the other top recruit JUCO transfer. None of those three will be able to match the production of Bell. Overall this is a young team, with a total of nine sophomore starters. The Bears will continue to be in the basement of the Big 12 South.

WAC Preview

Predicted Order of Finish

Hawaii | 8-0 | 12-0

Boise St | 7-1 | 11-1

Fresno St | 5-3 | 7-5

San Jose St | 5-3 | 7-5

New Mexico St | 4-4 | 7-6

Nevada | 4-4 | 6-6

Idaho | 2-6 | 3-9

Utah St | 1-7 | 1-11

Louisiana Tech | 0-8 | 1-11


Hawaii should have the most explosive offense in the country, go undefeated, and be invited to a BCS bowl. The offense should be top notch, leading the NCAA in passing yards, total yards, and points scored. QB Colt Brennan will be in Heisman discussions all season long. WR Davone Bess is regarded as one of the best at his position, and RB Leon Wright-Jackson was a top recruit who originally played with Nebraska. The defense will do enough when the offense is putting up at least 40 points per game. The schedule is incredibly easy, with the toughest games at home. Expect to see the Warriors in the Sugar Bowl.


Boise St will follow their undefeated season with another great year. The offense was so effective last year because of its balance. With the loss of the starting QB and top three receivers, the offense may rely on the running game more. The defense was the best in the WAC last season and should be again this season. The defense does lose LB Korey Hall, who was the leading tackler and WAC Defensive POY. The schedule includes an interesting out of conference game with Southern Miss, and tough conference road games at Fresno St and Hawaii. The Broncos won't go undefeated again this year, but will come really close.


Fresno St was one of the more disappointing teams last year, but they should bounce back. Last season's leading rusher Dwayne Wright left early for the NFL Draft, but his backup showed promise as a freshman. QB Tom Brandstater had some troubles in his first year as the starter, but behind a veteran line he should do better. The defense lost most of its starters, but this team should still be one of the most improved. The Bulldogs will be back in the postseason.


San Jose St won a surprising nine games last year, but it was against a pretty soft schedule. They only played three teams that finished with winning records, and they lost all three. The schedule is much tougher this year with the first four games on the road. San Jose St is hard to beat at home, evidenced by a 7-1 record there with the lone loss to Boise St by three points. They only have five home games this season, one of which is Hawaii. The offense gets most of its starters back, but it does lose its top three receivers. A top JUCO recruit WR comes in, so that should help the passing game. The talent level seems to be about the same as last year, but the schedule is tougher. The Spartans should make it to another bowl game, but won't match last year's win total.


New Mexico St had one of the top passing offenses in the country last year. The offense did have trouble scoring points compared to the all of the yardage they put up, and they turned the ball over almost three times per game. The offense returns most of its contributors, so perhaps the problems of last year will go away. The defense gave up 30+ ppg last year, and I don't know if it will be much better this year. With a more veteran offense, the Aggies should win more than four games this season.


Nevada was a one of the best teams in the WAC last year, but I expect a drop off this year. The offense loses its veteran QB, RB, and top WR. The starting QB and RB are sophomores, who may have trouble running the Pistol offense effectively. The defense forced 38 turnovers last season, most in the conference. It's unlikely the defense will be that successful two straight years. The Wolfpack have too much going against them not to regress.


Idaho, Louisiana Tech, and Utah St finish out the bottom of the conference. I don't expect much out of any of these teams. Together they will only win a handful of games. Idaho is breaking in a new head coach, former Washington St OC Robb Akey, after previous head coach Dennis Erickson took the Arizona St job. Louisiana Tech hired new head coach Derek Dooley, who was formerly the TE coach of the Miami Dolphins.

Sun Belt Preview

Predicted Order of Finish

Troy | 7-0 | 8-4

FAU | 6-1 | 6-6

Louisiana Monroe | 5-2 | 6-6

MTSU | 4-3 | 5-7

Arkansas St | 3-4 | 3-9

Louisiana Lafayette | 2-5 | 3-9

FIU | 1-6 | 1-11

North Texas | 0-7 | 1-11


Troy should be the best team in the conference this year, and it probably won't even be close. I expect them to go undefeated in conference play and get an invitation to the New Orleans Bowl. Omar Haugabook should be the best QB in the Sun Belt, and RB Kenny Cattouse should have a great senior season. The only question mark is the offensive line. Only one starter returns, so this group lacks experience. The schedule works out well, with the hardest conference games at home.


FAU has improved in each year since coming up and should get to bowl-eligibility this season. This team returns 18 starters, most in the conference. The offense had trouble scoring points last season, but that problem may go away with all of the experience now. In conference games last year, the defense was one of the best. The biggest problem in the killer OOC schedule, and the Owls might not win any of those five games.


Louisiana Monroe finished last year strong, winning three of four and the one loss was at Kentucky by two points. The offense returns all 11 starters, so I expect it to be one of the best in the conference. RB Calvin Dawson was the leading rusher in the Sun Belt last year, and he returns for his senior season. Last season ULM went 3-4 in conference, but three of those losses were very close. With more offense this year, the record should improve. The OOC may have just one win against Grambling St. The Warhawks have the talent to win the Sun Belt, but have to go on the road to face Troy and FAU.


MTSU was the best team in the Sun Belt last year, but they lost to Troy by one point on a last second TD. With the graduation of Clint Marks, Joe Craddock takes over QB duties. He struggled in his limited playing time last year, completing just 37.5% of his passes. The defense should be solid like last year. With a tough road schedule and question marks about the offense, I'm predicing the Blue Raiders to fall to the middle of the conference.


Arkansas St should have a better team this season, but might only win half as many games. The OOC schedule is tougher with games against three good C-USA teams, plus road trips Texas and Tennessee. The offense will be led by two sophomores, QB Corey Leonard and RB Reggie Arnold. The secondary should be the best in the conference. My predicted record of three wins seems low, but the schedule makes it hard to do much better than that.


Louisiana Lafayette was on the verge of getting to a bowl game last year until they lost the finale to Louisiana Monroe at home. After a six win season, the Cajuns may only win half as many in a down year. There are major questions at QB and in the entire defense. One bright spot is RB Tyrell Fenroy, who ran for almost 1200 yards and 10 TDs as a sophomore last season. The offense will be based around him this year. Perhaps the biggest problem is the schedule. Twice they have to play three consecutive road games. The OOC has two winnable games, both McNeese St and Ohio at home.


FIU was winless last year and averaged fewer than 10 points per game. At the end of the season, head coach Don Strock resigned. Mario Cristobal, the previous OL coach at Miami, takes over. FIU had five close losses in the first six games, including one that went into seven overtimes. Game 7 was the brawl with Miami, and the season went downhill the rest of the way. This is a very young team with only four senior starters. With question marks everywhere and an impossible OOC schedule, the Golden Panthers will have a tough time finding wins this season.


North Texas is a team in transition this year. I'm not sure what to make of them, mainly because I'm not sure what to make of their new head coach. Former head coach Darrell Dickey was let go in the offseason after two bad years, even though he had won the Sun Belt four times in the past nine years. The new head coach is Todd Dodge, a former Texas High School head coach. Both the offense and defense are changing schemes this year, so wins will be hard to come by.

Mountain West Preview

Predicted Order of Finish

TCU | 8-0 | 11-1

Utah | 7-1 | 8-4

New Mexico | 6-2 | 9-3

BYU | 5-3 | 7-5

Colorado St | 4-4 | 6-6

Wyoming | 2-6 | 4-8

UNLV | 2-6 | 3-9

San Diego St | 2-6 | 3-9

Air Force | 0-8 | 2-10


TCU will be the best team in the conference this year, and one of the best in the country. Their defense was one of the best last season, and I see no reason for a drop-off this year. On the offensive side of the ball, Aaron Brown should improve on his already great numbers (1256 total yards, 10 TDs) from last year. Sophomore Marcus Jackson takes over at QB and needs to just be effective and limit his mistakes. If he does that, this team should roll through most of the schedule. If the Horned Frogs weren't playing at National Championship contender Texas, I would call for an unbeaten season.


Utah should have the best offense in the conference this year. Brian Johnson takes over at QB after missing the '06 season. The running game should be solid with the addition of Matt Asiata, a top JUCO recruit, and the return of Darryl Poston, the team's leading rusher last year. Also the entire receiving corps returns. The defense should be good enough to win games with the offense putting up 30+ per game. The Utes will give TCU their toughest test in conference. A tough OOC schedule will prevent them from having double-digit wins in the regular season.


New Mexico may be a bit of a surprise team after losing to Portland St and losing a bowl game in their own stadium. All-Conference 1st Team selections RB Rodney Ferguson and WR Travis Brown will lead an improved offense, while the defense returns 10 starters. The only loss on defense is a big one in LOBO (LB/S combo) Quincy Black, a third round selection in the NFL Draft. Four winnable OOC games and playing BYU at home will help this team finish with 9 wins.


BYU was only 10 points away from a perfect season last year, losing one game on a last second field goal and another in OT. BYU is usually one of the top teams in the Mountain West, but I have them slipping to fourth, mainly due to the losses on the offensive side of the ball. QB John Beck was taken in the second round of the NFL Draft, and they also lose their top RB, four top receivers, and starting TE. This team also had the fewest turnovers in the conference with 13. It's unlikely that will happen again with the inexperience on offense. The Cougars will still go bowling, even in a down year for them.


Colorado St should have a better team than last year with 18 returning starters, and will flirt with bowl eligibility. RB Kyle Bell rushed for over 1200 yards and 10 TDs in the '05 season, but missed all of last season. He was sorely missed, as Colorado St was last in the Mountain West in rushing yards. The offense will be more balanced with his return, which should help senior QB Caleb Hanie, who struggled with the burden of the offense on his shoulders. The defense was solid and should be just as effective with 9 starters returning. One aspect that needs improvement is forcing turnovers, after averaging just one per game last season. The Rams have the experience and talent, but may need a few breaks to go their way to make it to the postseason.


Wyoming was an interesting team last year, as they lost four close games (two in OT) and won three close games. They gave up only six more points than they scored last year. The offense returns most of its skill players, but both lines need to be rebuilt. With the lack of experience on both sides of the ball, I expect a worse record than last year.


After going 6-6 in 2003, UNLV has only won two games in each of the past three seasons. Last year the offense averaged just under 20 points per game, but that should improve this season. QB Rocky Hinds, a top recruit who transferred from USC, played hurt last year. Healthy now his numbers should improve, especially with WR Ryan Wolfe (911 yards, 5TDs as a Freshman). Even with an improved offense, the defense continues to be suspect after giving up 30+ ppg last year. A tough OOC schedule and question marks on defense will keep the Rebels from improving much.


San Diego St went 3-9 last season under new head coach Chuck Long. The offense was inept, scoring less than 15 ppg and finishing last in the conference in points scored and total yards. The offense brings almost everyone back, so I expect those numbers to improve. The offense needs a QB to step up and earn the starting role. Three competed for that spot last year, all of whom return. Unfortunately, the defense was one of the worst in the conference last year and lose a lot of contributors. Unless Chuck Long works some magic here, I don't expect the Aztecs to improve on last year's record.


Air Force's head coach Fisher DeBerry retired in the offseason, after 23 years with that title. Troy Calhoun takes over, after previously being the OC for the Houston Texans. I expect Calhoun to implement a new offense, and there are always growing pains when that happens. The schedule is made tougher with no bye week, they play 12 straight games. There is too much to overcome for the Falcons to win more than a couple of games this season.